How Accurate is the Groundhog’s Prediction?

On Groundhog’s day, the prediction was made that we are going to have an early spring. The groundhog, named Punxsutawney Phil, did not see his own shadow. As the legend goes, if Punxsutawney Phil sees his shadow on Feb. 2, six more weeks of winter are expected. How accurate is this prediction?

 Data from the Stormfax Almanac’s data shows that Phil’s six-week prognostications have been correct about 39 percent of the time.This number is too low to confirm that the groundhog’s predictions are accurate enough to rely on.